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AUD/USD Forex Signal - 31 May 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as there was no suitable bearish price action at either 0.7543 or either of the trend lines shown as broken now in the price chart below.

Today’s AUD/USD Signals

Risk 0.50%.

Trades may only be entered from 8am New York time until 5pm Tokyo time, during the next 24-hour period.

Long Trade

  • Long entry following some bullish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.7553.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade

  • Short entry following some bearish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.7621.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

AUD/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that I had no directional bias beyond thinking that a good bearish reversal might give an opportunity if either of the trend lines are retested. The lines were retested, and the price was able to move beyond them without reacting precisely, which is a bullish sign, and the technical picture now looks considerably more bullish. “Risk-on” sentiment has returned and that always boosts the Australian Dollar. Although there is some bullish momentum, it may be faltering as the price gets close to the 0.7600 which has acted as a cap on the price over recent days. However, the action has been very bullish, so I take a bullish bias today above 0.7553AUDUSD

There is nothing due today concerning the AUD. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Crude Oil Inventories data at 4pm London time.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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