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ASX 200 Forecast: Holds Steady Amid Choppy Trade

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • The Australian Stock Exchange 200 moved back and forth during Tuesday's session, lingering around the same region as in recent days.
  • Ultimately, any short-term pullback could attract buyers, potentially providing support near the 8,150 AUD level.
  • The reason this is interesting to me is not only do we have a bunch of market memory just waiting to happen there, but we also have the 50 day EMA.

Any bounce from that area, I think, will probably attract a certain amount of attention, but that of course, assumes that we pull back at all. Ultimately, you have to be careful shorting any of the indices around the world, because central banks are almost certainly going to be liquefying the markets.

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On the Downside

It would not surprise me to see this market go looking to the $8,350 Australian dollars level above, which was the most recent swing high. If we break down below the $8,150 Australian dollars level, then I think we have a much deeper correction on our hands. Keep in mind that Australia is a minor index, one that quite often gets its cues from New York.

ASX 200 Forecast Today 30/10: Holds Steady (graph)

So, when you trade this index, you are better served to pay attention to how the S&P 500, Dow Jones 30 and NASDAQ 100 all close. It can give you an idea as to risk appetite. Furthermore, Australia is highly sensitive to global trade and growth and of course the Chinese economy so all of that comes into play. Regardless, we're in an uptrend so I'm looking for buying opportunities in this market, but I would also have to see more of a “risk on behavior” around the world to take advantage of it.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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