AUD/USD: The AUD continues its recent retrace. Many traders use different time frames for different currency pairs. The longer the time frame the more valid the pattern you are charting is. Moving Averages are basic tool that even the most sophisticated trader needs to always be cognizant of. The markets tend follow the moving averages generated off of the daily charts.
In Chart below I use a moving average from an 8 hour chart. I strongly encourage traders to be vigilant of at least checking a weekly, daily, 8 and or 4 hour chart and then any time frame less than 4 hours that you may want to look at.
You can see that the yellow line representing the SMA 50 was breeched and prices continued a steady fall (The Red line is the 100 SMA). There are also a number of near candle formations that support this price depreciation.
Circled in blue is a near Falling Three Candle pattern. Typically you have a red candle followed by 3 or so small green candles that are contained by the original red candle. Following the last green candle is another red candle with price closing below the original red. The Falling Three pattern is nearly followed by Three Black Crows. This candle pattern forms when you have the candles each open in the midsection of the proceeding candle but also close lower than the proceeding candle. This pattern nearly forms between the 2 white lines.
GBP/USD
: This pair has been range bound since May. When a pair trades in a range, price is confined to a narrow margin of highs and lows. In the Chart below the 2 red lines represent the range support and resistance lines.
The 2 red boxes indicate when minor breakouts have occurred. The tops and bottoms of the boxes would be your absolute stops depending on the handle you entered the trade at. Another point of consideration is the 50 SMA and 100 SMA. You can see that the SMA's are also moving sideways. Price typically pops when it passes above/below a significant SMA. With SMA moving into a sideways march we are approaching congestion on this pair and that should signal another breakout. Obviously if the dollar continues to strengthen as it has GBP should be headed south.
