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FXA Signal - October 31, 2012

By Andrew Keene
Andrew Keene spent 10 years as an independent equity options trader on the Chicago Board of Options Exchange, during which he spent the majority of his time as a market-maker for over 125 stocks. Andrew currently trades futures, currencies and commodities. When he's not trading, Andrew appears on top business television shows including CNBC's Squawk on the Street, Street Smart on Bloomberg TV and First Business, a show that is syndicated across the United States. Andrew graduated from the University of Illinois with a degree in Finance with a concentration in Accountancy.

By: Andrew Keene

CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) is a fund whose objective is to reflect the price of the Australian Dollar plus accrued interest. FXA is currently trading around $103.90 in a 52 week range of $96.57-$108.82. FXA is up 1.23% YTD, but is down 1.78% in the past 12 months.

FXA is heavily linked to FXI, China, and GLD, Gold. It looks as if FXA might have turned to the upside as it currently is trading above the 50 DMA, 103.50 and the 200 DMA at 102.50. I want to be bullish to neutral in the Australian dollar, so I can use options to place a trade a trade that will make money if the underlying is flat, goes higher or goes down by less than 2%. Australia exports 6% of their exports to China and I think a turn-around is in place for both countries.

My Trade:
Trade: Selling the FXA Dec 102-101 Bull Put Spread for $.25
Risk: $25 per 1 lot
Reward: $75 per 1 lot
Breakeven: $101.75

Andrew Keene
About Andrew Keene
Andrew Keene spent 10 years as an independent equity options trader on the Chicago Board of Options Exchange, during which he spent the majority of his time as a market-maker for over 125 stocks. Andrew currently trades futures, currencies and commodities. When he's not trading, Andrew appears on top business television shows including CNBC's Squawk on the Street, Street Smart on Bloomberg TV and First Business, a show that is syndicated across the United States. Andrew graduated from the University of Illinois with a degree in Finance with a concentration in Accountancy.
 

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