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EUR/USD Forex Signal - 30 September 2014

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

EUR/USD Signal Update

Yesterday’s signal was not triggered and expired.

Today’s EUR/USD Signals

  • Risk 0.75%

  • Entries may only be taken between 8am and 5pm London time.

Short Trade

  • Short entry following bearish price action on the H1 time frame following a first touch of 1.2756.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even when the trade is 50 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 50 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trade

  • Long entry following bullish price action on the H1 time frame following a first touch of 1.2660.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even when the trade is 50 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 50 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

EUR/USD Analysis

In my analysis made at the beginning of yesterday’s London session I noted that we may have already made the low of the day and that 1.2660 as a previous monthly inflective low was likely to be supportive. This was correct and we actually had a bullish day yesterday, although we were unable to move up much beyond 1.2700; certainly not to the likely resistance level at 1.2756.

I maintain a bearish bias although the pair is behaving in a choppy fashion right now. There will need to be a smoother flow downwards on the shorter term charts before the downwards trend can really reassert itself.

Nothing much has changed, the same levels from yesterday are also important today, except today I would be prepared to take the right kind of price action-based long trade off a bounce up from 1.2660.

EURUSD 93014

There are high-impact data releases scheduled for today which are likely to affect both the EUR and the USD. At 10am London time there will be a release of year on year CPI Flash Estimate data for the Eurozone. Later at 3pm there will be a release of U.S. CB Consumer Confidence data.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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