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EUR/USD Forex Signal - 20 October 2014

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

EUR/USD Signal Update

Last Wednesday’s signal was not triggered as although 1.2759 was hit during that day’s London session, there was no following bearish price action at the level.

Today’s EUR/USD Signals

  • Risk 0.75%

  • Entries may only be made before 5pm London time.

Short Trade

  • Go short at the first touch of 1.2900.

  • Place the stop loss at 1.2931.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even when the trade is 31 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 31 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run ensuring there is no risk left in the trade.

 

Long Trade

  • Go long following bullish price action on the 1H1 time frame H1H1H1 time frame following the first touch of the lower bullish trend line shown in the chart below, which currently sits at around 1.2677.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even when the trade is 25 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run ensuring there is no risk left in the trade.

EUR/USD Analysis

Since my last forecast some days ago, the EUR has been showing some unexpected bullishness across the board, as can be seen from a quick look at a chart of EUR/JPY for example. The H4 chart shown below shows not only a succession of higher lows following the strong move up from 1.2500, but also shows that we seem to be establishing a bullish channel. We have also recently broken or at least muddied the resistance zone that was previously established around the key psychological level of 1.2750. Therefore I am prepared to look for a long trade off the lower channel trend line if the price should fall there.

Above us the next key flipped level is confluent with the round number at 1.2900. A short touch trade could be taken there in the very unlikely even we should reach that price today.

EURUSD 102014

There are no high-impact data releases concerning either the EUR or the USD today. Therefore it is likely to be a quiet day for this pair.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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