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GBP/USD Forex Signal - 2 October 2014

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

GBP/USD Signals Update

Yesterday’s signal to go long following bullish action on the H1 time frame after a first touch of 1.6154 – 1.6165 was triggered by a bullish engulfing bar after a sharp rejection of that zone. The signal was to take 50% as profit after 30 pips and move the stop to break even, so the trade would have been a winner after closing with some booked profit.

Today’s GBP/USD Signals

  • Risk 0.75%

  • Entries may only be made between 8am and 5pm London time.

 

Short Trade

  • Go short following bearish price action on the H1 time frame following a first touch of 1.6282.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even when the trade is 30 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 30 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride. Ensure the risk is taken off the trade.

GBP/USD Analysis

Yesterday we bounced up off the support zone I had identified at 1.6166, but despite the USD selloff that happened yesterday, which was significant, we failed to break above 1.6250 and there is a local double top at that level now.

We are now heading down towards that supportive zone again, and it is too soon to look for another long trade there with comfort, although it may well prove to be supportive again in this choppy environment.

A short off likely resistance at 1.6282 looks more attractive and likely.

There is nothing beyond either side from 1.6500 to 1.6067.

GBPUSD 10214

There are high-impact data releases scheduled for today which are likely to affect both the GBP and the USD. At 9:30am London time there will be a release of GBP Construction PMI data for the U.K. Later at 3pm, there will be a release of ISM Manufacturing PMI data. Later at 1:30pm there will be the release of US Unemployment Claims data.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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