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Weekly Forex Forecast - 5 January 2015

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

AUD/USD

The AUD/USD pair initially tried to rally during the course of the week, but as you can see gave back all of the gains in ended up forming a hammer. The hammer sits just above the all-important 0.80 handle, so at this point in time I would be a little bit leery of selling this pair. In fact, it’s very likely that the 0.80 level will end up being massively supportive. After all, that is an area that was massively resistive for over 16 years, so when we broke out of there it meant something. The question then becomes whether or not the buyers are still down there.

AUDUSD Week 1515

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair fell apart during the course of the week, slamming into the 1.20 level. Much like in the AUD/USD pair, we are at a massive support area. Because of this, I think that will we could see is a bit of softness early in the week, followed by a potential buying in the later part of the week. Be very close attention to how the weekly candle in soft, because this could be a signal for reversal. The 1.20 level has been massively supportive for over five years, so we are most certainly it an important point.

EURUSD Week 1515

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair fell initially during the week but found enough support below the 120 level to form a hammer. With that, it’s very likely that we continue to grind higher, but we are a little bit overbought at this point. I think that it will be a slow grind higher with 115 being the floor. I have absolutely no interest in selling this market, at least not until we break well below the 110 level, which is something that we are not going to see anytime soon. I believe that “buying on the dips” will continue to be the way to play this market.

USDJPY Week 1515

GBP/CHF

The GBP/CHF pair broke out towards the upside during the week, but as you can see ended up forming a massive shooting star at the top of the consolidation area that we have been stuck in. Because of this, I feel that this market will more than likely soften up a little bit this week, maybe drifting closer to the 1.50 level. Nonetheless, I do recognize of the breakout above the 1.55 level that is massive in its implications, as it not only shows a break of resistance, but it shows that we are getting ready to have the next leg higher.

GBPCHF Week 1515

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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