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USD/JPY Forex Signal - 2 March 2015

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

USD/JPY Signal Update

Last Thursday’s signals expired without being triggered as none of the key levels were hit.

Today’s USD/JPY Signal

Risk 0.75%

Trades may only be taken between 8am London time and 5pm New York time only, or after 8am Tokyo time later.

 

Short Trade 1

  • Go short following some bearish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the first test of the long-term bearish trend line currently sitting at around 120.08.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

 

Long Trade 1

  • Go long following some bullish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the first test of the inner bullish trend line currently sitting at around 118.81.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

USD/JPY Analysis

This pair rose with the strengthening of the USD at the end of last week. However no key levels or trend lines have been hit so it is hard to judge the relative strength of weakness of the JPY in order to judge whether this is a good pair to be trading right now.

We can draw another supportive trend line below.

Either trend line will be hit before any good flipped support or resistance, so the behaviour of the price at either trend line should be the first clue regarding medium-term direction. Meanwhile we can look for reversals off the trend lines, but be careful.

USDJPY 3215

There are no high-impact events scheduled for the JPY today. Regarding the USD, at 3pm London time there will be a release of U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI data.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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