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AUD/USD Forex Signal - 4 November 2015

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

AUD/USD Signal Update

Yesterday’s signals provided a profitable short trade following the bearish rejection of 0.7218 during the earlier Asian session. Possible targets include the first supportive trend line, followed next by 0.7150 and 0.7113.

 

Today’s AUD/USD Signals

Risk 0.75%

Trades may be entered between 8am and 5pm New York time today only.

 

Long Trade 1

* Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.7150.

* Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

* Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

* Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

 

Long Trade 1

* Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.7113.

* Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

* Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

* Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

 

Short Trade 1

* Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.7218.

* Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

* Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

* Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

 

 

AUD/USD Analysis

I forecast yesterday that the level at 0.7218 was going to be pivotal, and so it has proved to be.

Technically this pair really looks to be at a crossroads of interest: the price has been contained within a longer descending wedge and has attempted to break out above that upper limit and in this attempt is being held in a much smaller and thinner ascending wedge. Both 0.7218 and 0.7150 look very strong, but a break below the first supportive trend line would suggest a trip down to at least 0.7150. The price will probably remain within this range until the RBA Rate Statement and USD Non-Farms due on Friday.

AUDUSD

Regarding the AUD, the Governor of the RBA will be speaking at 10:25pm London time. Concerning the USD, there will be a release of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Number at 1:15pm, followed by Trade Balance data at 1:30pm and then finally ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and Fed Chair testimony at 3pm.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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