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Gold Retreats After Fed Statement - 28 April 2016

By Alp Kocak
Alp Kocak has been trading Forex since 2003. He writes technical analysis based on Japanese candlesticks and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.

Gold rose slightly on Wednesday, following a Federal Reserve statement that signaled it was not in a hurry to tighten monetary policy. The U.S. central bank left short-term interest rates unchanged but kept the door open to a hike in June. "The committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments," the Fed said at the conclusion of a two-day meeting yesterday.

The daily Ichimoku cloud continues to act as a support but prices are still below the cloud on the 4-hour time frame. With the Fed's announcement failing to trigger any strong reaction, it is likely the ranging conditions will continue. In other words, the triangle (marked on the 4-hour chart) will prevail and contain the market.

XAUUSD Daily

The first hurdle gold needs to jump is located in the 1255.50-1251 region where the upper line of the triangle and top of the 4-hourly cloud converge. If prices can break through, then the bulls may find a chance to test nearby resistances at 1258.60 and 1263.50. To the downside, the initial support stands in the 1234-1233.70 area. A breakout below the lower line would open up the risk of a move towards 1227. As pointed out earlier this week, breaching this support is essential for a bearish continuation. In that case, the market will be aiming for 1222.

XAUUSD H4

Alp Kocak
Alp Kocak has been trading Forex since 2003. He writes technical analysis based on Japanese candlesticks and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.

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