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EUR/USD and GBP/USD Forecast - 19 October 2016

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

EUR/USD

The Euro initially tried to rally during the day on Tuesday, but turned right back around to fall below the 1.10 level again. Ultimately, this is a market that continues to drop over the longer term and I believe that every time we rally, you have to be looking for selling opportunities based upon exhaustion. I do not have any interest whatsoever in buying this market and I believe that we are going to reach towards the 1.09 level below, and then eventually the 1.05 handle after that. I think the 1.1150 level is massively resistive, so I do not think that until we break above there with significant static we can even remotely think about buying this market. With this being the case, I think you can sell and sell again.

EURUSD

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair rose during the course of the session on Tuesday, as we are testing the 1.23 level again. That being the case, the market should continue to see quite a bit of resistance above, so it’s only a matter of time before the sellers get back involved and I think on resistive candles you can start shorting the British pound yet again. I believe that the 1.20 level below of course is a massive floor, but given enough time I think we could break down below there. Having said that, the British pound selloff as quickly as once did, because we already know about the exit vote, so most of the knee-jerk reaction will be over with. That being the case, I am a seller so as we see signs of exhaustion and have no interest whatsoever in buying.

If we did break above the 1.2850 level, I think that would be a very bullish sign but even then I think we would only consolidate as we had previously.

GBPUSD

Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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