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EUR/USD and GBP/USD Forecast - 10 November 2016

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

EUR/USD

The Euro initially rallied during the day on Wednesday, reaching all the way to the 1.13 level above. This was in reaction to the surprise selection of Donald Trump as the president of the United States, and can’t the market well off guard. However, you can see that we turn right back around and formed a massive hammer. It looks as if traders are starting to focus on the fact that the US environment for business could very well be strong and Donald Trump is known as wanting higher interest rates. This could put pressure on the Federal Reserve to start hiking soon. A break down below the 1.08 level below would send this market down to the 1.05 level given enough time. This is one of the most bearish candles I’ve ever seen in my 10 years of trading, and as a result I am very bearish and I believe that short-term rallies offer selling opportunities again and again.

EURUSD

GBP/USD

The British pound initially tried to rally during the day on Wednesday, but found the area above the 1.25 level to be massively resistive, so we ended up falling to form a shooting star. The shooting star is very negative, and I believe that we will continue to go lower, perhaps reaching to the 1.22 handle below. A break above the top of the shooting star is a very nice buying opportunity in my estimation, but just for the short-term. I think that we will find the 1.2850 level to be far too resistive to continue going higher. Ultimately, this market will probably continue to reach towards the 1.20 level below. That is a massive support level that should continue to offer quite a bit of trouble for sellers, but I do think eventually we will break down below there based upon what we are seeing in the US dollar in general.

GBPUSD

Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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