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USD/JPY Forex Signal - 12 January 2017

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

USD/JPY Signal Update

Yesterday’s signals gave a losing long trade from the bullish engulfing candle rejecting the support level identified at 114.77.

Today’s USD/JPY Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades may only be taken between 8am New York time and 5pm Tokyo time, over the next 24-hour period.

 

Long Trades

  • Go long following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 113.15 or 112.86.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

 

Short Trades

  • Go short following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 115.62.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

 

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/JPY Analysis

This pair had already been in a medium-term, mild downwards trend during the past few weeks, with a succession of higher lows. With the USD being hit yesterday by the Trump press conference, this pair has moved particularly strongly, with the pair falling by more than 2% over the past 24-hour period.

The long-term bullish trend is still in force, but the sharp fall and continuous lower highs is telling us something important here. The drop does not look likely to turn around quickly.

USDJPY

There is nothing due today regarding the JPY. Concerning the USD, there will be a release of Unemployment Claims data at 1:30pm London time.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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