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USD/JPY Forex Signal - 12 April 2017

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Last Monday’s signals were not triggered as there was no bullish price action when the price reached 110.00.

Today’s USD/JPY Signals

Risk 0.75%.
Trades must be entered between 8am New York time and 5pm Tokyo time,during the next 24-hour period only.

Short Trade 1

  • Go short following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 110.00.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trade 1

  • Go long following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 107.66.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/JPY Analysis

This pair is the heart of the Forex market at present – it is moving with more direction and volatility than any other major pair, with the Yen acting as a safe-haven asset. Earlier, it looked as if the price might make a major bottom at 110.00, but the price has broken down and spent a lot of time below that level. There is now a short-term trend line which may be confluent with 110.00 to provide good resistance if the price returns to that area. There is a dominant bearish trend line just below the resistance at 111.49 and we are within both long and short-term bearish channels. Moreover, the price is in a long-term downwards trend, and there is no obvious support until 107.66. For all these reasons, this pair is one that Forex traders should be looking at now, especially with a view to new short trade opportunities.

USD/JPY Signal

There is nothing due today regarding the JPY. Concerning the USD, there will be a release of Crude Oil Inventories data at 3:30pm London time.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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