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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 16 August 2017

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals produced a profitable long trade following the bullish pin candle rejection of the support level at $3934.40. It would probably be wise to take further profit or close out completely if another top is formed at $4201.58.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be entered before 5pm New York time today only.

Protect any open trade by 6:30pm.

Long Trades

  • Long entry after bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3934.40, $3872.58, or $3706.34.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade 1

  • Go short after bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $4201.58.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

We saw the price fall yesterday with some short-term bearish impetus, but the price was finally held at the support level of $3934.40, before making a short-term high at $4201.58. The action looks bullish over both the long and short-terms, but if the price fails to clear the new resistance level at $4201.58, the short-term outlook will become more bearish.

There is still an amazing long-term bullish trend, possible even a strong bubble, so be very careful taking the short trade entry if it sets up.BTCUSD

Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Building Permits data at 1:30pm London time, followed by Crude Oil Inventories at 3:30pm and FOMC Meeting Minutes at 7pm.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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