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Bitcoin/USD Forex Signal - 5 September 2017

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as there was no bullish price action at either $4400.00 or $4185.67.

Today’s BITCOIN/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm New York time today.

Long Trades

  • Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3974.75 or $3600.00.
  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trades

  • Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $4389.93 or $4779.06.
  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BITCOIN/USD Analysis

After peaking just below the psychologically key $5000 level at the end of last week, and making new all-time high prices in the process, Bitcoin is now in its strongest bearish retracement for a while. It is currently finding support at $4000.00 and this area has an excellent chance of holding for three reasons: there is a technical support level at $3974.75, there is a big round number at $4000.00, and this price area makes a 20% drop from its high just below $5000 which was reached only a few days ago. A drop greater than 20% traditionally signifies a bear market, so there should be buyers here, suggesting there is an opportunity to go long. However, should the price break below $3874.75, that would be a bearish sign, suggesting the pullback will last for a while longer, and probably continue down to reach the next area of key support at $3600.00 at least.

Provided that does not happen, Bitcoin can still be said to be in a very strong, long-term bullish trend, and likely to continue to offer excellent profit opportunities on the long side for some time yet.

BTCUSD

There is nothing due today regarding the USD.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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