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NZD/USD Forex Signal - 21 February 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as there was no bullish price action at 0.7347.

Today’s NZD/USD Signals

Risk 0.50%

Trades may only be taken from 8am New York time until 5pm Tokyo time, during the next 24-hour period.

Short Trades

  • Go short following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.7374 or 0.7460.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trades

  • Go long following some bullish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.7326 or 0.7273.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

NZD/USD Analysis

Yesterday I wrote that a long trade looks unlikely to work well unless the conditions change, though I thought this pair is likely to give more profit from a good long trade than a good short trade, as the long-term condition is relatively bullish. This was a good reflection of what happened, with the price breaking a little lower before finding new support to rise from at 0.7326. However, the picture has not truly changed, the price is still moving within a formation which is almost a bearish price channel, so it seems impossible to make a confident forecast on this pair today.

NZDUSD

There is nothing due today concerning the NZD. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of FOMC Meeting Minutes at 7pm London time.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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