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Gold Edges Lower as Greenback Gains - 15 March 2018

By Alp Kocak
Alp Kocak has been trading Forex since 2003. He writes technical analysis based on Japanese candlesticks and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.

Gold prices ended Wednesday’s session down $1.65 an ounce, pressured slightly by a firmer U.S. dollar index. XAU/USD traded as high as $1329.92 before giving up gains and testing the support in the $1321.80-$1320 area. The market is currently trading at $1327.07, higher than the opening price of $1324.42.

The gold bull have the near-term technical advantage as prices continue to stay above the Ichimoku clouds on the H1 and the M30 charts. We have positively aligned Tenkan-sen (nine-period moving average, red line) - Kijun-sen (twenty six-period moving average, green line) on the H4 chart and the Chikou-span (closing price plotted 26 periods behind, brown line) is above prices. However, note that prices are still moving within the borders of the 4-hourly cloud.

XAUUSD Daily

If the bulls can take out yesterday’s high, the top of the daily cloud will be the next target. XAU/USD has to break through 1334.32-1332 to test 1336-1335.50. Once above there, the market will be aiming for 1340. The bears, on the other hand, have to capture the aforementioned support in the 1321.80-1320 zone if they don’t intend to give up. In that case, look for further downside with 1318 and 1316/4 as targets. A daily close below 1314 would deteriorate the near-term technical outlook and open a path to 1308/5.

XAUUSD h4

Alp Kocak
About Alp Kocak
Alp Kocak has been trading Forex since 2003. He writes technical analysis based on Japanese candlesticks and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.
 

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