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Gold Rises After Fed Statement - 22 March 2018

By Alp Kocak
Alp Kocak has been trading Forex since 2003. He writes technical analysis based on Japanese candlesticks and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.

Gold prices ended Wednesday’s session up $21.32 an ounce as the U.S. dollar weakened after the Federal Reserve took a less hawkish view on monetary policy than some market players were expecting. The yellow metal is being supported not only by a slump in the greenback, but also by worries about a potential trade war between China and the United States. China accused the United States of repeatedly abusing international trade rules after a White House official said President Donald Trump will announce more tariffs on Chinese imports on Thursday.

XAU/USD extended its gains after the market saw an upside breakout from a sideways trading range, but some mild profit-taking pressure was featured after prices reached a technical resistance at around the 1334 level. The near-term technical posture for gold has improved since the market penetrated the 4-hourly Ichimoku cloud. Positive Tenkan-sen (nine-period moving average, red line) - Kijun-sen (twenty six-period moving average, green line) crosses on the 4-hourly and the hourly charts also support this view.

XAUUSD Daily

If the bulls can push through 1335.37-1334.25 (the top of the daily cloud), then 1340 will be the next target. A break through there brings in 1345. The bulls have to produce a daily close above 1345 to gain momentum for 1352/0. However, at this point, I wouldn't rule out a pullback towards the top of the 4-hourly cloud (1326.50-1325) or even 1322.50-1321 before heading higher. The bears will need to drag prices below 1321 to challenge the bulls waiting in the 1318.70-1316 area.

XAUUSD h4

Alp Kocak
Alp Kocak has been trading Forex since 2003. He writes technical analysis based on Japanese candlesticks and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.

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