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USD/CAD Forex Signal - 14 March 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bearish price action at 1.2909.

Today’s USD/CAD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be entered before 5pm New York time today only.

Long Trades

  • Long entry after the next bullish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.2909, 1.2890 or 1.2870.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade

  • Short entry after the next bearish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.3050.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/CAD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that it looked like a wise course of action would be to stand aside until one of the levels is reached. There are likely to be better opportunities in other currency pairs in the meantime. I was completely wrong. The price in fact rose strongly in line with a long-term bullish trend, which was unusual as the U.S. Dollar fell almost everywhere else. The Canadian Dollar is weak. The move has probably flipped all the previous resistance levels not far below to become support, so they might be new bases for long trade entries after a pull-back. Above, the psychological level of 1.3000 is close by and this may slow the advance, as it acted as a cap when the price was there previously a few days ago.

USDCAD

There is nothing due today concerning the CAD. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Retail Sales and PPI data at 12:30pm London time, followed later by Crude Oil Inventories at 2:30pm.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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