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BTC/USD and BTC/JPY Forecast - 18 July 2018

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin exploded to the upside during the trading session on Tuesday, breaking above the initial resistance barrier that I’d spoke about yesterday in the form of the $6800 level. Now that we have done that, we clearly have a lot of upward momentum. With a 9% gain, obviously a lot of the upward momentum has already been expressed during the day, but I would also point out that we do have a target just above at $7700, and then again at $8000. I would anticipate a significant amount of resistance and that area, especially as the 200 EMA is right around that $8000 level. I believe that it’s only a matter time before we see some exhaustion near the $8000 level, but in the short term I think that obviously there’s a lot of “FOMO” going forward, as retail will chase this type of move.

BTCUSD

BTC/JPY

Bitcoin also exploded to the upside during the trading session on Tuesday against the Japanese yen, reaching towards the ¥850,000 level. The ¥850,000 level has been the scene of significant selling pressure previously, so I wonder whether we can continue to go higher? Certainly there will be another attempt, but I think if we break above the 200 day EMA, pictured in blue on the chart, that’s a very good sign and could change things. However, we have a significant amount of support at the ¥700,000 level as well, so I think we could get a short-term amount of bullish pressure, but ultimately there are still a lot of problems with adoption going forward. This has been a very nice turn around again, but as you can see, we had a very similar move back in April, only to turn around and break down again.

BTCJPY

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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