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BTC/USD and BTC/JPY Forecast - 19 July 2018

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin rallied again during the trading session on Wednesday, breaking towards the $7500 level. There is a certain amount of supply in this area, so if we are going to turn around, it’s probably going to be between here and $8000 above. I think there is more than enough reason to believe that we could pull back, because we had seen such a massive amount of positivity over the last couple of days. In fact, Tuesday was a 10% gain, which of course is a bit overdone. When you look at the chart, we have done this more than once, rally significantly, only to turn around and roll over. I think that the combination of the $8000 level and the 200 EMA in the same vicinity will probably send this market lower. If we could break above the $8000 level, then I believe that the market could continue to go higher. Obviously, $6000 has asserted itself as a very bullish demand level.

BTCUSD

BTC/JPY

Bitcoin of course rallied against the Japanese yen as well, struggling at the ¥850,000 level though. This is an area that offered a significant amount of resistance in the past, and I think that now the we have rallied so significantly, we probably don’t have the momentum to break out quite yet. The candle stick for the trading session on Wednesday looks a bit like a shooting star, so I think we are going to see a pullback here as well. However, if we were to break above the 200 EMA, I think that the market could rally rather significantly. This has been an excellent bounce, but it has been a bit overdone. Remember, we have seen this happen before, only to get turned around right away. The question now is whether or not we can keep up the upward grind?

BTCJPY

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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