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NZD/USD Forex Signal - 31 July 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bearish price action when the price reached 0.6822.

Today’s NZD/USD Signals

Risk 0.50%.

Trades must be taken between 8am New York time and 5pm Tokyo time, over the next 24-hour period.

Short Trade

  • Go short following bearish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.6857.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trades

  • Go long following bullish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.6812, 0.6787 or 0.6750.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

NZD/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that I thought the resistance at 0.6822 looked likely to be strong, and that a break above 0.6822 would be a bullish sign. That resistance did not hold, it broke, which was a bullish sign, and although the price hasn’t really gone anywhere in recent hours, the overall picture is certainly more bullish now, with a new obvious higher support level at 0.6812. I am weakly bullish today above 0.6812.NZDUSD

Regarding the USD, there will be a release of CB Consumer Confidence data at 3pm London time. Concerning the NZD, there will be a release of Employment Change and Unemployment Rate data at 11:45pm.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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