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USD/CAD Forex Signal - 31 July 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals produced a nicely profitable long trade from the bullish engulfing candlestick which rejected the support level at 1.3000, offering a logical take profit on the spike to the nearest resistance level at 1.3085 during the Asian session.

Today’s USD/CAD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be taken before 5pm New York time today.

Long Trade

  • Go long after the next bullish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.3000.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trades

  • Go short after the next strongly bearish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.3085 or 1.3136.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/CAD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the resistance level of 1.3085 should be the day’s pivotal level: if it held for a few hours, the price would probably move down towards 1.3000 again, while a sustained break above 1.3085 would be a bullish sign. This is exactly what happened, it was a good call: the level held, the price moved down to 1.3000, where there was a very predictable and strong bullish bounce providing a nicely profitable long trade entry.

Both the nearest key levels have held and there is no change to the technical picture. I would want to see the price get out of the 1.3000 to 1.3085 range before entering any more trades.

USDCAD

Concerning the CAD, there will be a release of GDP data at 1:30pm London time. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of CB Consumer Confidence data at 3pm.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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