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USD/JPY Forex Signal - 25 July 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday's signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.

Today’s USD/JPY Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades must be taken from 8am New York time to 5pm Tokyo time, over the next 24-hour period only.

Short Trades

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 111.75.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trades

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 110.79 or 110.55.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/JPY Analysis

I wrote yesterday that I had a bearish bias below 111.17 until 110.79 was reached. This was correct for most of the day and produced a few short pips, but the price reversed during the New York session to return to its range of comfort. The chart below shows the price continuing to consolidate around the 111.25 are over recent days and it is becoming difficult to see which direction it will eventually break in. The market in general is extremely quiet and it might well remain that way until Friday’s New York session. I have no directional bias here.
USDJPY

There is nothing important due today concerning the JPY. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Crude Oil Inventories data at 3:30pm London time.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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