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Weekly Forex Forecast - 12 August 2018

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

EUR/USD

The Euro collapsed on Friday, as fears of contagion coming out of Turkey have taken a hold of the markets. The pair breaking below 1.15 is a significant  turn of events, and I think it could send this market much lower, perhaps down to the 1.13 level in the short-term. I think that selling the rallies will be the way forward as long as we are below 1.15 in this pair.

EURUSD

GBP/USD

The British pound continues to struggle and breaking down to the 1.2750 level is just the latest sign of trouble. The pair will continue to struggle over all, and I think until we get some kind of resolution in the Brexit, its unlikely to pick up. I remain bearish below the 1.30 level but recognize that we may be looking for a short-term bounce. Sell it.

GBPUSD

NZD/USD

The New Zealand dollar has broken down significantly, and it looks as if we are ready to continue lower. At this point, there is a lot of noise underneath current levels, so looks to sell short-term rallies that fail. I would guess at this point we are heading towards the 0.65 level, but we may need to pick up a few sellers before them. A break above the 0.6850 level would change everything. I don’t think it happens in the short-term. I think that this pair is also going to suffer at the hands of the trade war as well.

NZDUSD

USD/JPY

The Dollar fell for the week, testing the 110.50 level. This are is significant, and I think this sets up a very sideways market in the short-term. However, there are a lot of concerns around the world with global issues, and financial issues, so this could drop on some errant headline. Overall, I would leave it alone.

USDJPY

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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