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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 16 October 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals may have produced a long trade off the support at $6,353 which is in profit, but I do not feel confident about it.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may be entered until 5pm Tokyo time, during the next 24-hour period only.

Long Trades

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,353, $6,263, or $6,171.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trades

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,679 or $6,811.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that after a huge spike like this it was probably best to stay away, although a long trade from a bounce at the new higher support of $6,353 might be interesting.

This was a pretty good call as we did get a very quiet long trade entry at $6,353 but the price looks only as if it is going to calm now, although I may be wrong. So, I take the same analysis today, thinking that the price here looks likely to consolidate after such a massive price spike which essentially went nowhere yesterday.

Still, due to the slightly bullish action plus the fact that the support at $6,353 held, I take a slightly bullish bias here above $6,353.BTCUSD

There is nothing important due today concerning the USD.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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