Last Thursday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.
Today’s BTC/USD Signals
Risk 0.75% per trade.
Trades must be entered before 5pm Tokyo time today, during the next 24-hour period only.
Long Trades
Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,353, $6,263, or $6,171.
Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
Short Trades
Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,679 or $6,811.
Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
BTC/USD Analysis
I repeated last Thursday that the best that could be said was that the longer the price remained above $6,353, the more likely it was to rise eventually, but it looked like it could easily go sideways for a while yet, so I had no interest in trading this pair. This was a good call as the situation persists, surprisingly, with the price consolidating in this area for over one week now without really doing anything. This means that the eventual volatility breakout is likely to be quite strong when it finally does come, but until that happens, it will probably be wise to stand aside.
There is nothing important due today regarding the USD.