Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.
Today’s BTC/USD Signals
Risk 0.75% per trade.
Trades must be entered from 8am London time until 5pm Tokyo time today, over the next 24-hour period only.
Long Trades
Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,353, $6,263, or $6,171.
Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
Short Trades
Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,679 or $6,811.
Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
BTC/USD Analysis
I repeated yesterday that the longer the price remains within this range (which it has been trading within over the past 10 days), the stronger the eventual volatility breakout is likely to be when it finally does come, but until that happens, it would probably be wise to stand aside. This continues to be a good call, as the price just went sideways for another day. I maintain this approach, but it might be that a simple touch of the support level at $6,353, if it happened, could trigger an important move in the price, so a long trade from a good bullish bounce there might be an interesting opportunity. I would take a long bias if this set-up occurred later.
Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Core Durable Goods Orders data at 1:30pm London time.