Last Thursday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bearish price action when the price reached $4,055.
Today’s BTC/USD Signals
Risk 0.75% per trade.
Trades must be entered and closed before 5pm London time today.
Long Trades
Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $4,055 or $3,929.
Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
Short Trades
Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $4,374 or $4,982.
Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
BTC/USD Analysis
I wrote last Thursday that the picture had become much more bullish than it was a few days ago. I thought it was quite likely that the resistance at $4,055 would hold for the rest of the day, but a break above it would be a very bullish sign. I took a generally bullish bias, but I wanted to see a sizable pull-back before entering any long trade yet. This was a good call, as the price has continued to rise, and it take a deeper pull back the next day before that rise could really happen.
There are reasons to remain bullish: the price is going up and printing higher support levels and has broken decisively above the former resistance at $4,055 and is trading above the high of many days. I take a bullish bias above $4,055 but the price could easily end today lower than it the price at the time of writing. The idea trade set-up would be a quick bounce at $4,055.
There is nothing important due today concerning the USD.