Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were reached.
Today’s BTC/USD Signals
Risk 0.75% per trade.
Trades may only be taken until 5pm Tokyo time today.
Long Trade
Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,274 or $3,018.
Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.
Short Trade
Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,450 or $3,732.
Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
BTC/USD Analysis
I wrote yesterday that the price had just broken below a formerly supportive area at $3,450 which now looked likely to hold as resistance. I took a bearish bias below $3,450 and above $3,274. This was a good call: the resistance held, and the price continued to move down. The picture remains slightly bearish, but the action is quite dull, and I doubt there will be any good opportunities here today, so I take no bias now. A break above $3,450 would be a bullish sign.
Concerning the USD, there will be a release of CB Consumer Confidence data at 3pm London time.