Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.
Today’s BTC/USD Signals
Risk 0.75% per trade.
Trades must be entered before 5pm Tokyo time today.
Long Trades
Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,914 or $3,741.
Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
Short Trades
Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $4,100 or $4,373.
Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
BTC/USD Analysis
I wrote yesterday that as the price had printed new support levels and was also well established within a bullish price channel., it looked likely that the pivotal level would be at $3,914. This was OK as the price remained within trend lines and the horizontal levels, making a relatively gentle and slow bearish retracement, so we do not have a strong reason to stop being bullish. The signs are all weakly bullish and I would take a bullish bias later if there is a bullish bounce at $3,914. A sustained break above $4,100 would be a more bullish sign yet.
There is nothing of high importance due today regarding the USD.