Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.
Today’s BTC/USD Signals
Risk 0.75% per trade.
Trades may only be taken before 5pm Tokyo time today.
Long Trade
Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,274.
Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.
Short Trade
Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,470.
Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
BTC/USD Analysis
I wrote yesterday that there was no change to the technical picture since last Thursday – the resistance at $3,470 held and the price had again fallen from there, but was not making any significant lower lows, in fact the swing lows were getting higher. This suggested bulls and bears are quite evenly balanced at present. There has been little change, maybe the picture is slightly more bullish as higher swing lows are being made. A strong bullish move which holds up above $3,470 would be a significant bullish sign.
Concerning the USD, there will be a release of ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data at 3pm London time.