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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 2 May 2019

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Yesterday’s signals produced a short trade from the bearish inside candlestick which rejected the resistance at $5,355 on the hourly chart. This trade would still be open but looks more likely to be a loser than a winner.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may be taken at any time prior to 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

Long Trades

Go long at a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $5,261 or $5,230.

Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade

  • Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $5,513.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that as there was a medium-term weak bullish trend, and for that reason plus yesterday’s bullish flip, I was prepared to take a bullish bias if the price retraced to $5,230 and made a strong bullish bounce there.

I was correct to make a bullish call as the price has continued to rise, although it has only risen by a very small amount. The nearby resistance at $5,355 has held so far and looks likely to be today pivotal point.

I would take a bullish bias if the price can trade above $5,355 today for a couple of hours on above-average short-term volatility, at least until $5,513 is reached.

btcusd

There is nothing important due today concerning the USD.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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