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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 16 May 2019

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Bitcoin makes another 10-month high price

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as there was no bearish price action at $8,287.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be taken prior to 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

Long Trades

  • Long entry at a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $7,582, $7,186 or $6,811.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trades

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $8,436, $8,593 or $8,893.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that there was no reason not to be generally bullish just because we have had a day of consolidation. I would take a bullish bias above $8,350 or if there is a strong bullish bounce following a bearish retracement to the $7,582 support level.

There was no retracement to $7,582 but the price did briefly trade above $8,350 so this wasn’t such a good call (yet) as the price has pulled back and printed new lower resistance at $8,134 – this level is too fresh to be included within my resistance levels in the signal above though.

It makes sense to remain bullish, but a period of consolidation or a deeper retracement are becoming less unlikely scenarios. I would take a bullish bias following a retracement to and bullish bounce at the nearby support level of $7,582.BTCUSDRegarding the USD, there is nothing of high importance due today.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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