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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 17 December 2019

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Bitcoin: Bearish but pivotal point at $6,786

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were reached yesterday.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be entered prior to 5pm Tokyo time Wednesday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,786 or $6,441.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $7,221, $7,269, $7,400 or $7,445.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that as the price was again looking low and threatening to break down to new lows so I take the same approach here as we have a bearish trend on all time frames – I would take a bearish bias below $7,000 to at least as far as the next key support level at $6,786.

This was a great call as the price continued to fall below $7,000 and has almost reached the support level at $6,786.

The price action continues to look bearish, so I think we are likely to see $6,786 reached today which will probably be the pivotal point. I would take a bearish bias again here if we get a couple of hours consecutive closing prices below $6,786 as we would then seems to be breaking towards long-term low prices.

I am comfortable being bearish here as there is a bearish trend on all time frames.BTCUSDThere is nothing of high importance due today concerning the USD.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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