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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 18 December 2019

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Bitcoin: Bearish near new 6-month low

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bullish price action when the support level identified at $6,786 was reached.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be taken before 5pm Tokyo time Thursday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,441, $6,171, or $5,950.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,786, $7,221, or $7,269.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the price action continued to look bearish, so I thought we were likely to see $6,786 reached which would probably be the pivotal point. I wanted to take a bearish bias again here after a couple of hours consecutive closing prices below $6,786.

This was a good call as the price continued to fall and is still lower than it was after 2 hours closing below that former support level.

The price came very close earlier to reaching a new 6-month low price which is a bearish sign.

Bitcoin continues to look bearish on every time frame and shows signs of reaching still lower prices.

I remain bearish here below $6,786 but would want to see an hourly close below $6,580 first.BTCUSDThere is nothing of high importance due today concerning the USD.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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