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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 19 December 2019

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Bitcoin: Strong bullish bounce from $6,441

Yesterday’s signals produced an excellent, profitable long trade from the bullish bounce at the support level at $6,441. It will probably be worth taking most of any remaining floating profit now.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be entered prior to 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,786 or $6,441.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $7,221, $7,269, or $7,445.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the price had come very close to reaching a new 6-month low price which was a bearish sign. Bitcoin continued to look bearish on every time frame so I remained bearish here below $6,786 but would want to see an hourly close below $6,580 first.

This was a good call insofar as my bearishness was followed only to the next support level of $6,441, where the price turned dramatically bullish and made a very strong upwards push, engulfing the entire price range of the last 10 days within only a few hours.

The size of this bullish thrust puts the long-term bearish trend in doubt, and we may have seen some significant long-term buying from the low.

Much will now depend whether the price can get established above the current resistance level at $7,269 which would be a bullish sign if it happens.

If the resistance at $7,220 holds and the price can get re-established below the round number at $7,000 then we can write off this bullish thrust as a spike and expect the downwards trend to resume.BTCUSDThere is nothing of high importance due today concerning the USD.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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