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EUR/USD Forex Signal: Unclear Direction - 25 February 2020

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

EUR/USD: Pivotal point at 1.0842

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as the bearish price action took place above 1.0865.

Today’s EUR/USD Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm London time today.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 1.0889, 1.0904, or 1.0941.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 1.0842 or 1.0814.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

EUR/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the price was currently sitting on 1.0814 which I saw as a pivotal point and new support level: if this level held up going into the London session, we would be more likely to see an up day. This was a good call, as the level held up and we did see a rise over the day.

The price action has invalidated the former resistance level at 1.0865 and printed a new higher support level at 1.0842. These are bullish signs. However, the long-term trend is bearish, and the short-term price action at the time of writing is also bearish. Therefore, the most I can say is that it looks as if 1.0842 will be pivotal today.

Markets are relatively volatile and prone to sudden waves of risk-off sentiment about coronavirus developments; therefore, price predictions are challenging at present. This currency pair is not a major focus of the market right now either.EURUSDThere is nothing of high importance due today regarding the EUR. Concerning the USD, there will be a release of CB Consumer Confidence data at 3pm London time.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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