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USD/JPY Forex Signal: Consolidating - 18 March 2020

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

USD/JPY: Both currencies relatively strong

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was insufficiently bearish price action at 107.48.

Today’s USD/JPY Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades must be entered from 8am New York time Tuesday to 5pm Tokyo time Wednesday.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 107.48 or 108.59.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 105.21 or 104.09.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/JPY Analysis

I wrote yesterday that I saw the best strategy to trade this pair would be to look for reversals from key levels in either direction, with the support at 105.68 looking very pivotal at the time of writing. This was a good enough call to keep anyone out of trouble, but I was wrong about 105.68 being very important.

We see the consolidation continue and generally, Forex markets are starting to calm down as Europe and the U.S.A. begin to adjust to the new reality of the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

As the consolidation pattern continues to hold, I continue to see the best opportunities here as likely to be in trading reversals from key levels identified above in any direction, while monitoring closely to ensure nimble profit-taking.USDJPYThere is nothing of high importance scheduled today regarding either the JPY or the USD.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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