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BTC/USD Forex Signal: More Bullish - 14 May 2020

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

BTC/USD: Breakout beyond consolidation limit at $9,000

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bearish price action when the resistance level identified at $9,125 was first reached.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.50% per trade.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $9,146 or $9,041.

  •  Place the stop loss $50 below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $9,584 or $10,131.

  • Place the stop loss $50 above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the technical picture showed a clear ranging consolidation between $9,000 and the support at $8,162. I was ready to fade failed breakouts at either level or trade the breakout beyond one of the levels. This was a good call as the price broke above $9,000 and the price has continued to advance to reach $500 higher than that.

The technical picture is more bullish now, with a supportive pivotal area established near $9,000. The short-term price action is bullish and suggests that Bitcoin is set to continue rising until it tests the nearest resistance level which is identified at $9,584.

I do not want to take any short trades today unless we get a bearish reversal later above $10,000. I think the price will rise today so below $10,000 I would look to buy this pair on dips.BTCUSDThere is nothing of high importance due today regarding the USD.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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