USD/JPY: Weakly bullish with strong USD
Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as the price was already below the support level identified at 107.59 when New York opened.
Today’s USD/JPY Signals
Risk 0.75%.
Trades must be entered from 8am New York time Thursday to 5pm Tokyo time Friday.
Short Trade Ideas
Go short following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 108.04, 108.21, or 108.59.
Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.
Long Trade Ideas
Go long following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 107.59 or the lower price channel trend line shown in the price chart below which is currently sitting at about 107.21.
Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
USD/JPY Analysis
I wrote yesterday that the technical picture had become less bullish but I was prepared to take long trades from bullish bounces at 107.59 or at the lower trend line of the former price channel, as well as another short trade from 108.04.
Neither of these potential trades set up.
It has now become more obvious that the price is moving within a wide, symmetrical bullish channel.
The USD is strong today, although the JPY is not especially weak.
The price action is a little confusing over the short term, but there is no reason not to have some faith in this bullish price channel.
I will take a bullish bias if get a firm bullish bounce at either 107.59 or the channel’s lower trend line shown in the price chart below which is currently sitting at about 107.21.
Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Flash Manufacturing PMI at 2:45pm London time followed by the Chair of the Federal Reserve giving a minor speech at 7:30pm. Concerning the JPY, the Bank of Japan will be releasing its Monetary Policy Statement late in the Tokyo session.