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Gold Forecast: Falling Apart

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

The size of the candlestick is rather impressive, but it does not necessarily mean that the trend is over. 

Gold markets have fallen apart during the trading session on Tuesday, as the bullish move in gold has finally been abated. This is a market that had been so overdone that a move like this was likely, although I am the first to admit that I am a bit surprised that it happened in one fell swoop. Looking at this chart, we are well below the $2000 level, and now it looks like we are going to go screaming towards the $1900 level. The 50 day EMA is currently at the $1860 level, an area that should be supportive but I think the $1900 level is likely to be very supportive.

The size of the candlestick is rather impressive, but it does not necessarily mean that the trend is over. I think at this point in time it is simply a matter of waiting enough to be patient and pick up value once the stability returns. After all, this type of move will shake out a lot of the “weak hands” that are out there. This should not be a huge surprise to anyone, retail traders, CNBC, and just about everybody else has been asking about gold and therefore it is not a huge surprise that it eventually toppled over.

As long as the Federal Reserve continues to loosen monetary policy and print greenbacks, gold still has a bright future. However, it has gotten far too ahead of itself, so it is not a huge surprise to see this type of pullback. I am waiting for some type of daily candlestick that shows promise, something along the lines of a hammer or bullish and golfing candlestick. Either way, I have no interest in shorting this market as I think there is more than enough reasons for this market to go higher over the longer term. Looking at the chart, I think I have a couple of days to sit on the sidelines and wait for some type of support to show up. Regardless, this type of volatility has a lot of people nervous, and it makes sense that we would have quite a bit of time to figure things out. Take your time to look for support, be patient, and by all means, do not try to trade this off of short-term charts, this type of washout tends to cause mass chaos for days on a short-term timeframe.

Gold

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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