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Silver Forecast: Markets Drift Lower to Kick Off the Week

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

The silver markets initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday but gave back the gains in order to show a less than desirable candlestick. That being said though, the market is likely to continue to reach a little bit lower before we find support, possibly somewhere in the neighborhood of the $26 level. That area extends down to the $25 level, so it is very likely that there will be a certain amount of interest in this market. After all, the $25 level is a large, round, psychologically important number, and therefore it is worth paying attention to. Furthermore, if we break down below the $25 level, then the $24 level also has shown itself to be supportive. In other words, we are sitting on a massive support region.

Just below there, the 50 day EMA is coming into the picture and it makes quite a bit of sense that it could also offer support. That being said, the market is likely to find buyers eventually, but it is worth noting that the US dollar is a bit overextended to the downside, and therefore a bit of a correction and all precious metals may be coming. That opportunity means that we could be looking to take advantage of cheap silver as it occurs, and I have no interest in trying to short this market.

I do believe that we will eventually go higher, so again, I will be a seller, but I will be looking to pick up “cheap silver.” Even if we were to break down a bit from here, it is likely that the market then will find a bit of a hard “floor” in the neighborhood of $20. Obviously, you do not want to hang onto silver all the way down there, but at that point I would back up the truck and start piling is much silver into my account as I can get. Not only is that the scene of a major breakout, but it is also a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and an area where we have the 200 day EMA approaching at the same time. Because of this, I do think it is only a matter of time before buyers would show up then and go looking towards the $25 level, followed by the $30 level. That being said, I do not think we drop that far and therefore I am looking for a buying opportunity closer to the $25 handle to turn around and reach towards $28 again. The silver market simply cannot be sold at this point, and therefore one needs to be patient.

Silver

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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