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BTC/USD Forex Signal: Still Bullish

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

Lopsided consolidating triangle pattern.

Yesterday’s signals produced a long trade from the bullish bounce at $14,946 which is currently in some floating profit at the time of writing.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.50% per trade.

Trades may only be entered prior to 5pm Tokyo time Wednesday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $15,144, $14,946, $14,571, or $14,258.

  • Put the stop loss $50 below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade Idea

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $17,901.

  • Put the stop loss $50 above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that due to several bullish technical signs, I took a bullish bias on Bitcoin, which had been boosted by the improvement in global risk sentiment we have seen over recent days.

I thought the long-term bullish trend was likely to continue and so I decided to enter a long trade if we got two consecutive hourly closes above $16,000.

The price has not even reached $16,000 so this call was enough to keep out of trouble. In fact, a long trade from a bullish bounce at support did set up.

The technical picture remains bullish, we are seeing a bullish consolidation in the form a triangle pattern, while all the key support levels are remaining valid.

I think we will see more upside, although this is not close to being certain – it is just more likely.

Therefore, I prefer to wait for the breakout, so I will again be ready to enter a long trade if we get two consecutive hourly closes above $16,000 later.BTC/USDThere is nothing of high importance due today regarding the USD.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

 

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