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BTC/USD Forecast: Bitcoin Continues to Struggle with $60K

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

There is something to worry about all of a sudden, and that is a major lack of momentum.

Bitcoin markets have rallied slightly during the trading session on Friday but still struggle with the idea of breaking above the $60,000 level. It has become increasingly obvious that this is a level that is going to take a lot of effort to get through. This is not to say that we are not going to be able to do so, just that I anticipate that we will continue to see a lot of trouble just below there.

Taking a look at the candlestick for the trading session, it did take off the top of the negative candlestick on Wednesday, so I suppose that is something to hang your hat on; then, you also have the massive amount of bullish pressure that we have seen over the last several months. However, there is something to worry about all of a sudden, and that is a major lack of momentum. I am not necessarily trying to be an alarmist, but this is a classic pattern that you will see occasionally when a market is due for some type of correction.

One thing is for sure, though: there does seem to be a lot of momentum underneath that will continue to be a mainstay of this market, and therefore I think there are plenty of areas where we would see a significant amount of support. The $55,000 level would be the first area, followed by the $50,000 level which is also supported by the 50-day EMA as well. To the upside, if we were to break above the $60,000 level on a daily close, that would kick off the next move to the upside. In general, the market will probably go looking towards the $62,500 area, and then the $65,000 level, which would be the next target.

To the downside, if we did break down below the $50,000 level, it is likely that the market would probably go looking towards the $45,000 level, which has been supported. If we break down below there, then the uptrend is certainly being threatened.

Regardless, the $60,000 level has certainly shown itself to be extraordinarily difficult to overcome, but I think that any sharp sell-off will probably be met with quite a bit of institutional buying, due to the fact that they are openly embracing the idea of owning Bitcoin.

BTC/USD

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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