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BTC/USD Forecast: Bitcoin Hangs On to 50-Day EMA

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

It is only a matter of time before Bitcoin rallies, either simply slicing through the $60,000 level, or pulling back towards one of those couple of support levels. 

The Bitcoin market went back and forth on Tuesday as the US dollar shot straight up in the air. Quite frankly, the market is likely to see a lot of back and forth in this area, because the 50-day EMA is something that a lot of technical traders pay attention to in the crypto markets. Keep in mind that the market has been very noisy over the last couple of days, but even with a sharp move higher in the US dollar, Bitcoin has remained steadfast. In fact, some of the losses have been recovered in order to form a bit of a hammer.

The $60,000 level above is a large, round, psychologically significant figure that of course will attract a certain amount of attention in and of itself and has been resistance over the last couple of weeks. I do think that we will try to get above there, and if we do, that could open up a big move to the upside. The Bitcoin market has been very bullish until the last couple of weeks, and one could look at this through the prism of a simple pullback in what has been a strong move.

Underneath, the $55,000 level should offer plenty of support, as it has caused the market to bounce recently, and is a large, round, psychologically significant figure as well. In fact, $55,000 has been important a couple of times, so I think that is probably the short-term floor in the market as far as the consolidation is concerned. As long as we stay above there, I think this market looks very strong. If we do break down, then the $50,000 level will be worth watching, because the 200-day EMA is reaching towards that area as well. That being said, I do think it is only a matter of time before Bitcoin rallies, either simply slicing through the $60,000 level, or pulling back towards one of those couple of support levels. I have no interest in shorting Bitcoin anytime soon, and I am not even looking for the downward setup. The Bitcoin market still has much further to go, despite the fact that we have run into a little bit of trouble over the last couple of weeks.

BTC/USD

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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