Before the USD/BRL opens for trading this Monday, the price of the currency pair went into the weekend near the 5.3250 ratio. Experienced traders will know that they need to be braced for a gap in value upon the beginning of trading today. Intriguingly the USD/BRL has not mirrored the results of most other major currencies paired against the USD the past week; its move upwards goes against the grain.
Instead of going into the weekend with bearish momentum like many of the other major Forex pairs, the USD/BRL actually sustained its upper price range. The low for trading in the USD/BRL last week was on Tuesday the 8th of November when the currency pair touched the 5.1300 level. However after touching this lower ratio the USD/BRL began to climb and on Thursday a high of 5.4135 was flirted with and then on Friday a high of 5.4070 was seen.
Trading in the USD/BRL is Dynamic and Full of Landmines for the Uninitiated
Risk management is definitely needed when trading the USD/BRL. The transition of power in Brazil is taking place, but political tension in the nation remains troublesome and this does not comfort financial institutions that trade the USD/BRL.
- A low of 5.2490 was achieved on Friday the 11th of November, but a reversal upwards occurred and the USD/BRL was soon challenging the 5.3650 level.
- The close of trading in the USD/BRL kept the currency pair within its higher short-term range and technically this raises suspicions, particularly because the USD has been weaker against many other major currencies. Coupled with weaker than forecasted inflation numbers from the U.S the higher price dynamic of the USD/BRL needs to be treated carefully.
Speculators are encouraged to wait for the USD/BRL to Open before Chasing Positions
Traders of the USD/BRL who do not have open positions should wait and monitor the opening of this morning’s price action in the currency pair. If the USD/BRL sustains a higher price range within the 5.3100 to 5.3500 realms, this can be viewed as a potential bullish signal that additional incremental buying may continue to be seen.
However, if the USD demonstrates further weakness in the broad Forex market, this might spark a reactionary short-term selling surge in the USD/BRL. Traders need to be cautious and monitor the USD/BRL carefully. Technical and fundamental trading in the USD/BRL mixed with an unclear outlook regarding behavioral sentiment in Brazil is causing nervous results to remain part of the trading landscape.
Brazilian Real Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 5.3480
Current Support: 5.3081
High Target: 5.4300
Low Target: 5.2430
Ready to trade our Forex trading predictions? Here are some excellent Forex brokers to choose from.