The USD/CAD is near the 1.36400 juncture as of this writing, this morning’s high was near 1.36800 but Friday’s high traversed over the 1.37000 ratios. Since trading near a low of about 1.32275 on Wednesday, November 16th, the USD/CAD has not delivered what may have been an anticipated speculative trend. In fact, it has likely cost traders trying to sell the USD/CAD plenty of money.
While Central Banks continue to Warn about Inflation, Commodities have softened
The USD/CAD certainly has plenty of technical reasons to believe the currency pair has been overbought, but the fact that many commodity prices have become cheaper is likely causing the Canadian Dollar to experience less demand. Less demand for commodities such as metals and energy means the USD/CAD may not have enough sellers to create downward price action even as the U.S. Federal Reserve has spoken about becoming less aggressive.
However, the USD/CAD does remain speculative and bearish traders who still want to pursue selling positions have reasons to feel justified, but they should be careful with their risk-taking tactics. The USD/CAD remains within the higher realms of its long-term technical charts and contrarian attitudes which have watched the USD weaken against many other major currencies may believe the USD/CAD should not escape the same downward trend eventually.
Mid-November’s USD/CAD Lows look Appealing but Traders need to be Realistic
- Betting on lower moves in the USD/CAD should be done carefully because it is clear the trend upward the past month has been solid after touching lows a little more than a month ago.
- The 1.37000 realms should be monitored; if this resistance level proves durable its vicinity could spark the notion that realms near the 1.36600 to 1.36900 values are attractive to ignite selling positions. However, a solid climb above 1.37000 which is sustained would not be a good short-term indicator for bearish traders.
Price action should be also kept an eye on by speculators because as the USD/CAD trades within it upper realms there are potentials for volatility to develop. The USD/CAD has caused many sellers to feel frustrated the past month of trading and with holiday trading volumes approaching soon the currency pair may remain rather turbulent near-term.
Pursuing downward price velocity in the USD/CAD may feel like the correct speculative wager, but as written above it has not come without costs the past month. Traders who continue to have a taste for selling the USD/CAD with short-term perspectives need full risk management in place to protect against the possibility of higher moves.
Canadian Dollar Short-Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 1.36750
Current Support: 1.36350
High Target: 1.37025
Low Target: 1.36185
Ready to trade our daily Forex forecast? Here’s a list of some of the best Forex brokers to check out.